Archive for May, 2009
Joe Weisenthal of Clusterstock
Earlier this week we mentioned an internet-borne conspiracy theory that the Chrysler dealership closings had a partisan tilt. Basically, some blogs believed that dealers who donated to Republicans were heavily represented on the list of closed dealers.
We were pretty skeptical, and we got some comments and emails wondering why we even bothered writing up that “wingnut” conspiracy story.
Well, whatever, the story isn’t going away. And it’s even reached the halls of Congress.
Mark Tapscott at the Washington Examiner picks it up
Evidence appears to be mounting that the Obama administration has systematically targeted for closing Chrysler dealers who contributed to Repubicans. What started earlier this week as mainly a rumbling on the Right side of the Blogosphere has gathered some steam today with revelations that among the dealers being shut down are a GOP congressman and closing of competitors to a dealership chain partly owned by former Clinton White House chief of staff Mack McLarty.
The basic issue raised here is this: How do we account for the fact millions of dollars were contributed to GOP candidates by Chrysler who are being closed by the government, but only one has been found so far that is being closed that contributed to the Obama campaign in 2008?
The story has angered Florida Rep. Vern Buchanan learned from a House colleague that his hometown dealership is on the closed list, so expect to hear some noise in Washington.
As for the Mack McLarty dealership, it is an interesting situation. The basic story is that McLarty is a co-owner of a big dealership chain RLJ-McClarty. The J is Robert Johnson, the founder of Black Entertainment Television (BET) and a big donor to the Democratic party.
The blog Director Blue (warning: it’s a right-wing blog, so don’t have a heart attack once you get there) notes how odd it is that this multi-dealership chain didn’t have a single closure and that in its various markets, it was always a competitor that got shut down. Put another way, RLJ-McClarty Chrysler dealerships in states like Arkansas, Missourri and Alabama just got a lot less competition.
Conversely, stats-god Nate Silver throws cold water on the whole thing, noting that car dealer deanerships go 88% to Republican candidates. He says this isn’t a conspiracy, it’s just bad math. But as Megan McArdle notes, it’s still odd that they’ve only found one Obama donor on the closed list (12% Democratic donation rate is small, but it’s not nil). And the fact that the one really Democratic chain went unscathed also raises eyebrows.
The best way for this to end would be for the government to provide even a smidgen of insight into how it selected dealerships for closure. So far, it really hasn’t offered a thing.
JON C. OGG of 24/7 Wallst
The triple-leverage financial ETFs of Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (NYSE: FAS) and Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (NYSE: FAZ) are getting to deal with yet another potential wrench in the machine: preferred share redemptions from major banks. This will also pose a potential issue for the Ultra Financials ProShares (NYSE: UYG) and the UltraShort Financials ProShares (NYSE: SKF) ETFs that trade at double-leverage of the Dow Jones U.S. Financials index.
The PowerShares Financial Preferred (NYSE: PGF) is the ETF that specifically tracks the preferred shares of financial stocks. This can also be impacted, although we would note that this ETF here has five of its top ten holdings which are European bank preferred shares and the top ten holdings are over half of the ETF.
This comes on the hells of this morning’s Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC) that it was offering a tender exchange offer on nine of its preferred series for up to 200 million shares of common stock. At today’s prices, that would represent more than $2.2 billion in new common stock. The largest US bank holding company issuers we have seen with Bank of America are JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM), Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC), and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS).
We have already seen some selective retirement of Preferred stock from the likes of Citigroup, Inc. (NYSE: C), and that accomplished some of the same issues that Bank of America was trying to address here.
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All of these index levels actually track just the common stock, so the dilution, the new issuances, and the potentially larger market caps of the common shares would be what matters to these ETF’s. These ETF’s are only full of the common stocks.
The biggest issue out there for how this will affect the ETF’s which track banks, financials, and preferred shares is the overall weighting. If B of A is successful at this, we could easily see other banks following suit. Jamie Dimon already bought preferred shares.
The incentive here is actually rather simple to retire these at lower prices than the traditional $25.00 PAR if possible. The yields on many of these preferred securities is close to 10%. Some yields are even higher. Bankers cannot make that much spread even if the credit card rules were not changing.
There is also the notion that these Preferred share redemptions act as effective Tier-1 capital raising activities. Some consider this a balance sheet trick, but if it lowers current obligations and long-term debt then that is ultimately good for shareholders of common stock in today’s environment even if you consider the dilution that the common holders have to accept.
Reuters: Oil rallied above $64 on Thursday on bullish U.S. inventory data and after OPEC ministers meeting in Vienna decided, as widely anticipated, to leave the group’s crude output unchanged at 24.85 million barrels per day.
U.S. crude oil for July delivery was up $1.16 at $64.61 a barrel by 1520 GMT after having briefly touched $64.99, its highest level since mid-November.
London Brent crude rose $1.33 to $63.83.
U.S. crude stocks fell more than expected last week as refiners ramped up operations, while gasoline inventories dropped for the fifth week, the Energy Information Administration said in weekly data released Thursday.
Commercial crude inventories fell 5.4 million barrels in the week ended May 22, the EIA said, dwarfing the 700,000-barrel decline analysts had forecast in a Reuters poll.
“What we are seeing here is the demand side start to improve,” said analyst Phil Flynn at Alaron Trading in Chicago.
“Gasoline demand over the Memorial Day weekend is a critical point in judging the health of the U.S. economy. I don’t think the increased demand over the holiday was a fluke.”
STILL OVERSUPPLIED
Analysts said oil’s recent highs have followed resurgent global equity markets in spite of weak underlying fundamentals of excess supply and poor demand for refined petroleum products.
“In the near term, oil will likely retain its high level of correlation in daily return with equities, but equally with (foreign exchange) as long as oil is kept off the market in storage,” said BNP Paribas senior oil analyst Harry Tchilinguirian.
“When that oil starts coming back, depressing the prompt, we can expect that relation to loosen.”
In Vienna, OPEC Secretary General Abdullah al-Badri said the oil market was still oversupplied, with around 130 million barrels of crude and refined products currently stowed in floating storage.
Industry officials and analysts estimate a range of 100 million to 130 million barrels of crude oil stored at sea in 50 to 53 vessels, as sellers profit on oil for prompt delivery being cheaper than for future delivery.
Courtesy of Chris Fernandez of Peakstocks
Today is a day to give thanks. I know it’s a little early for Thanksgiving, but I’m talking about being thankful to Uncle Sam and the U.S. government for the bountiful opportunity they have given us to make huge loads of money in a relatively short amount of time. I’m talking about shorting U.S. debt via 2 specific, but very risky vehicles:
Ultrashort Lehman 20+Year Treasury Proshares (NYSE: TBT)
Direxion Daily 30 Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (NYSE: TMV)
Since the collapse of the yield curve late last year when people were panicked in the market such that they were willing to take NEGATIVE returns on their money via U.S. Treasuries to ensure some type of safety, things are starting to normalize now, and in fact swing the other way.
This has given us one of the biggest opportunities in the last 50 years to take advantage of a punch drunk bumbling and stumbling government spending itself into possible oblivion.
A little harsh you say?
Perhaps, and I’m not one to judge, but I am certain of one thing: As Warren Buffett recently stated, the bubble in U.S. Treasuries is one of the largest of all time, even bigger than the housing bubble that we just witnessed collapse.
In fact, Buffett highlighted the sale in late 2008 by Berkshire Hathaway of a Treasury bill for a negative yield.
Buffett wrote in Berkshire’s annual letter in February that when “the financial history of this decade is written…the Treasury-bond bubble of late 2008″ may rank up there with the housing bubble of the early to middle part of the decade.
What The Heck Are You Talking About?
For those that are uninitiated, I’ll break it down in simple terms:
The U.S. government is printing money.
They are doing this to help stave off an apparent collapse in the banking sector, add liquidity to the market, AND prop up the U.S. economy with various stimulus packages.
How do you come up with money that you don’t have?
You borrow.
So how does the U.S. government borrow?
They issue Treasuries dated in different maturities ranging from 1-30 years.
Who buys this debt?
All sorts of folks from around the world, but mostly our neighbors to the East, China, Japan, and other countries.
What terms does the government have to offer them to take on ever increasing amounts of our debt?
Well, not too long ago, those terms were rather modest, and were akin to basically borrowing money for free, with yields going down below 3% for the 30 year notes in late 2008, and far lower yields for shorter maturities, it was a no brainer to take on more debt when being able to pay it back at such favorable terms.
That however, is now changing with Treasuries declining about 20% from those highs, and the yield now over 4% and climbing fast.
What happens when lenders, or buyers, don’t want any more debt?
We have to increase the payout they get for taking on more debt, thus lowering Treasury prices, and increasing the yield, since they work inverse of each other. Full Article
Strong Uptrend
ANGIOTECH PHARMACEUTICALS (NASDAQ ANPI)
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May 27th Angiotech Pharmaceuticals announces FDA approval of next-generation TAXUS(R) Liberte(R) Atom(TM) Stent system Angiotech Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: ANPI, TSX: ANP) today announced that its corporate partner, Boston Scientific Corporation (NYSE: BSX – News) has received approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to market its TAXUS® Liberte® Atom(TM) Paclitaxel-Eluting Coronary Stent System, a highly deliverable, next-generation drug-eluting stent (DES) specifically designed for treating small coronary vessels. It was approved for use in vessels as small as 2.25 mm in diameter and joins the TAXUS® Express® Atom(TM) Stent as the only drug-eluting stents approved for small vessel use in the U.S. The Company plans to begin a full U.S. launch of TAXUS Liberte Atom next month.
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(CNNMoney.com) — Stocks gave back early gains Thursday after the government reported a smaller-than-expected rise in new home sales.
The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) was down 37 points, or 0.5%, about 30 minuets into the session. The S&P 500 (SPX) lost 4 points, or 0.5%. The Nasdaq composite (COMP) slumped 0.9%, giving back 15 points.
Stocks sold off near the close of the previous session as bond yields and mortgage rates spiked, raising concerns that higher borrowing costs could stifle an economic recovery.
Economy: New home sales in April rose 0.3% at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 352,000 from a revised rate of 351,000 the month before, according to government figures.
But the increase was smaller than expected, and the previous month’s figures were revised sharply lower. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had expected a sales rate of 360,000. March sales were originally reported at a rate of 356,000.
Earlier, a report on weekly jobless claims showed a larger-than-expected decline, while the monthly report for durable goods orders showed a higher-than-expected increase.
Initial jobless claims fell to 623,00 in the week ended May 23, a decline of 13,000 from the revised figure for the prior week.
Claims were expected to have declined to 628,000, according to a consensus of economist opinion from Briefing.com.
Orders for durable goods jumped 1.9% in April, a larger increase than expected. Orders were expected to have risen 0.5% in April, according to the Briefing.com consensus, compared to a revised decline of 2.1% the prior month.
Bonds: The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note slipped to 3.64% after surging to a 6-month high of 3.71% Wednesday. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions.
Mortgage rates, which are pegged to Treasury yields,jumped in the most recent week. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 5.45% in the week ended Wednesday from 5.24% last week.
Companies: Auto parts supplier Visteon (VSTN, Fortune 500) filed for bankruptcy protection for its U.S. operations. The company, which is a major supplier to Ford (F, Fortune 500), has been hit hard by the sharp decline in demand for cars.
Media powerhouse Time Warner (TWX, Fortune 500) announced that it would separate itself from online service company AOL. Time Warner said that AOL would be spun into a separate publicly traded company.
After the closing bell, personal computer maker Dell (DELL, Fortune 500) is expected to report first-quarter earnings of 23 cents per share, down from 38 cents per share a year ago.
GM (GM, Fortune 500) shares rose after the troubled automaker said major bondholders have accepted a revised deal to swap debt for equity. However, the deal does not mean that the company will avoid filing for bankruptcy, which could happen at the end of this week if certain other restructuring efforts fail.
Other markets: Stocks in Japan finished the session slightly higher. Markets in Hong Kong and China were closed for a holiday. European shares tumbled in midday trading.
In currency trading, the dollar rose versus the euro, but slipped against the yen and the British pound.
NYMEX crude oil for July delivery prices rose 55 cents a barrel to $64.01.
COMEX gold for August delivery rose $6.40 an ounce to $961.60.
Exec. VP, CFO & Asst. Sec’y of GameStop Corp. (GME) David W Carlson buys 25,000 shares of GME on 05/27/2009 at an average price of $22.48 a share.
GameStop Corp. is the world’s largest video game and entertainment software retailer. The company operates 4816 retail stores across the United States and in fifteen countries worldwide. The company also operates two e-commerce sites GameStop.com and EBgames.com and publishes Game Informer? magazine a leading multi-platform video game publication. GameStop Corp. sells new and used video game software hardware and accessories for next generation video game systems from Sony Nintendo and Microsoft. In addition the company sells PC entertainment software related accessories and other merchandise. GameStop Corp. has a market cap of $3.62 billion; its shares were traded at around $22.01 with a P/E ratio of 8.9 and P/S ratio of 0.4. GameStop Corp. had an annual average earning growth of 11.2% over the past 5 years.
(MARKET WIRE)–May 28, 2009 — DryShips Inc. (NasdaqGS:DRYS – News) (the “Company” or “Dryships”), a global provider of marine transportation services for drybulk cargoes and off-shore contract drilling oil services, announced today that it has reached agreement on waiver terms with Deutsche Bank AG, lender and Mandated Lead Arranger on $1.125 billion facility. This facility covers drillships hull numbers 1865 and 1866 currently under construction at Samsung Heavy Industries. This agreement is subject to customary documentation provisions.
George Economou, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, commented: “We are pleased to have reached this agreement on a very important credit facility for DryShips. We are delivering the waivers as promised and we hope to conclude discussions with the rest of the lenders in the near future.”
About DryShips Inc.
DryShips Inc., based in Greece, is an owner and operator of drybulk carriers that operate worldwide. As of the day of this release, DryShips owns a fleet of 43 drybulk carriers comprising 7 Capesize, 29 Panamax, 2 Supramax and 5 newbuilding Drybulk vessels with a combined deadweight tonnage of over 3.4 million tons, 4 ultra deep water semisubmersible drilling rigs and 4 ultra deep water newbuilding drillships. DryShips Inc.’s common stock is listed on the NASDAQ Global Market where trades under the symbol “DRYS.” Visit our website at www.dryships.com
Jon C. Ogg of 24/7Wallst
In most years, shareholder meetings are not full of much change. This year has been very different in that manner, and SIRIUS XM Radio Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI) just sealed its share fate on the share count and on a split as it voted to increase the authorized share count and then making an adjustment that would allow for a pending reverse stock split.
Shareholders approved an amendment to its certificate of incorporation to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 8,000,000,000 to 9,000,000,000 shares. The group also approved an amendment to SIRIUS’s certificate of incorporation to permit the Board of Directors to do a reverse stock split of its common stock and reduce the number of authorized shares of its common stock. The shareholders approved the long-term incentive plan and shot down a proposal that would put executive pay packages up for a vote. Continue reading


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